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The blog of the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program
Showing posts by Stephen Smith.
  • Youthful Demographic Conditions Could Push the Sahel to an “Afghanistan Moment”

    ›
    Africa in Transition  //  Guest Contributor  //  February 8, 2022  //  By Richard Cincotta & Stephen Smith

    Map SahelCet essai a été mis à jour avec une traduction française, disponible après la version anglaise, ci-dessous. 

    The countries of the Western Sahel find themselves in the tightening grip of a set of mutually reinforcing crises. These include deepening seasonal food insecurity and surges of food-aid dependency, widening income inequalities, widespread childhood stunting, low levels of education attainment and pervasive unemployment, as well as acute political instability and a rapidly growing Islamist-led insurgency that has already displaced some 2.5 million people across the region. In our recent report, What Future for the Western Sahel? The Region’s Demography and Its Implications by 2045, (published by the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security), we argue that, unless the Sahelian states focus on reversing the underlying conditions that sustain high fertility—the cause of a persistently youthful and rapidly growing population—they will likely not be able to resolve these crises in the foreseeable future.  

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