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NewSecurityBeat

The blog of the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program
Showing posts by Nina von Uexkull.
  • Climate-Conflict Research: A Decade of Scientific Progress

    ›
    Guest Contributor  //  February 23, 2021  //  By Halvard Buhaug & Nina von Uexkull
    5876772575_08d07807fe_c

    The last decade was the warmest on record, with 2020 tied with 2016 for the all-time high average annual global temperature. This 10-year period also saw armed conflicts at severity levels not seen since the Cold War era. Could there be a causal link between these trends?

    To the frustration of policymakers and laymen alike, empirical research has been unable to provide a simple and coherent answer to this question. Instead, studies of climate-conflict connections have for a long time continued to produce diverging findings and – occasionally – inspired heated debates. So, where do we stand?

    In a review article introducing a new special issue of the Journal of Peace Research (JPR) on the security implications of climate change, we assess the nature and extent of scientific progress in climate-conflict research over the past decade. As yardsticks for measuring progress, we identify seven key research priorities frequently advocated in earlier reviews of the quantitative literature. 

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