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NewSecurityBeat

The blog of the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program
Showing posts by Jonas Vestby.
  • Before the Flood: Lessons from Attempts to Predict Displacement

    ›
    Guest Contributor  //  January 9, 2024  //  By Halvard Buhaug & Jonas Vestby

    Severe flooding is a major cause of human displacement. According to the latest annual report by the International Displacement Monitoring Centre, around 61 million people were forced to move within their country of residence during 2022 due to conflict or disasters. More than one quarter of these—19.2 million people—were displaced by floods.

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  • Common Climate Impact Assessments Underestimate Future Vulnerability

    ›
    Guest Contributor  //  February 18, 2020  //  By Halvard Buhaug & Jonas Vestby
    7515010372_ed76417046_c

    This article originally appeared on the Peace Research Institute – Oslo.

    Climate-related disasters are a major source of human and material losses. Poverty and low level of economic development are important determinants of environmental vulnerability. Achieving stable and sustainable development thus represents an important strategy to reduce adverse impacts of climate change. However, present efforts to evaluate possible consequences of climate change in the future suffer from too optimistic assumptions about economic growth in poor countries, as we document in a new article just published in the journal Global Environmental Politics.

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