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NewSecurityBeat

The blog of the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program
  • New Report Outlines Impact of Climate Change on Law Enforcement

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    January 30, 2008  //  By Sonia Schmanski
    “The risks of climate change demand a rethink of approaches to security,” writes Chris Abbott in An Uncertain Future: Law Enforcement, National Security and Climate Change, a report released recently by Oxford Research Group. Climate change’s impact on security concerns has recently moved to the forefront of global dialogue, a development Abbott links to three trends: widespread acceptance of scientific evidence that climate change is real; increased attention to energy security; and growing awareness of nontraditional threats around the world.

    Abbott claims that three likely socio-economic impacts of climate change—damaged infrastructure, resource scarcity, and mass displacement of people—could easily lead to civil strife, intercommunal violence, and international instability. For instance, he warns that major problems should be expected where small, affluent populations live next to large, poor ones—a contention U.S. and Mexican leaders, among others, should take note of.

    Law enforcement and police should prepare for four key climate-related developments, says Abbott:
    • Demands for greater border security;
    • Changes in rates and types of crimes, due to large-scale migration;
    • The need to enforce newly enacted climate-related laws; and
    • The need to respond to increasingly frequent natural disasters.
    In addition, he argues, military planners will need to study four crucial operational and strategic issues:
    • Difficulties maintaining the soundness of equipment and weaponry and the health of military personnel in a changed climate;
    • Loss of defense assets (for instance, military bases on low-lying islands or coasts that will need to be relocated);
    • More frequent peacetime deployments, particularly for disaster relief; and
    • Instability in strategically important regions, such as the Horn of Africa or the Persian Gulf.
    Although Abbott’s report does not add new information to the existing body of research on climate change and security, it does helpfully summarize several developments that leaders in government, law enforcement, and the military will need to study and prepare for. In addition, Abbott should be commended for repeatedly eschewing alarmist responses to climate change’s security challenges and instead urging a pragmatic and humane approach.Rachel Weisshaar contributed to this report.
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  • Desertification Threatening China’s Human, Economic Health

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    January 28, 2008  //  By Linden Ellis
    China has begun to reverse the high rates of desertification that have plagued it for decades, reported China Daily on January 24. Thanks to the efforts of communities, NGOs, and local governments, China’s deserts are now shrinking by 7,585 kilometers a year, in contrast to their annual growth rate of 10,400 square kilometers in the late 1990s. Yet 400 million Chinese remain affected by desertification: Erosion—particularly due to wind—can cause violent sand storms, forcing people from their homes and threatening the economies of major Asian cities including Beijing, Seoul, and Tokyo. Human health effects include respiratory and eye infections. For more on the health effects of desertification, see “Desertification and Environmental Health Trends in China,” a research brief by the Wilson Center’s China Environment Forum (CEF).

    In August 2007, CEF and water NGO Circle of Blue assembled a group of desertification experts and photographers to take a five-day car ride from Beijing into eastern Inner Mongolia in northeast China, one of the regions that has suffered most from desertification. On their drive into the ocean of sand, the team gathered stories, photos, and video to put a human face on China’s desertification crisis. The result of their trip is a multimedia report, “Reign of Sand,” which explains that the primary causes of China’s increasingly frequent and severe sand storms—most of which originate in Inner Mongolia, home to the largest grasslands on earth—are the ecological mismanagement of this region and deepening drought in northern China.

    By CEF Program Assistant Linden Ellis.
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  • Palm Tree Highlights Challenges of Preserving Madagascar’s Biodiversity

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    January 28, 2008  //  By Rachel Weisshaar
    Today’s Washington Post reports on the discovery of a new species of flowering palm tree in northern Madagascar. The tree—which, when in bloom, sends a 30-foot-tall mass of fruits and flowers sprouting from the top of its trunk—is so unlike any other known palms that it has been assigned its own genus. The discovery of this tree is “helping to highlight the predicament Madagascar faces as population growth, poverty and poor land management conspire to destroy the last vestiges of that island’s ecological magnificence,” writes reporter Rick Weiss. According to the article, approximately 90 percent of Madagascar’s 10,000 plant species are endemic to the island, yet one-third of the country’s unique vegetative cover has disappeared during the past three decades.

    But the situation is perhaps not as dire as Weiss makes it out to be. For instance, a successful population-environment program in Madagascar has helped preserve the country’s remaining rainforest while improving the health of the Malagasy people.
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  • Reading Radar– A Weekly Roundup

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    January 25, 2008  //  By Wilson Center Staff
    Replacing 10-20 percent of mangroves in coastal areas of Thailand with shrimp farms does not seriously damage the mangroves’ ability to protect against tsunamis, says an article published recently in Science. According to the authors, “reconciling competing demands on coastal habitats should not always result in stark preservation-versus-conversion choices.”

    Chimpanzees and other endangered species are being threatened by a thriving bushmeat trade in Tanzanian refugee camps, says a report by the NGO Traffic. “The scale of wild meat consumption in East African refugee camps has helped conceal the failure of the international community to meet basic refugee needs,” said report lead author George Jambiya.

    “Health professionals have a vital contributory role in preventing and reducing the health effects of global environmental change,” argue A. J. McMichael and colleagues in an article in the British Medical Journal (subscription required to access full text).

    Muslim countries around the world should follow the example of some of Indonesia’s pesantren (religious schools) and incorporate environmental conservation into the teaching and practice of Islam, argues MIT professor and frequent Wilson Center speaker Saleem Ali, who edited Peace Parks: Conservation and Conflict Resolution.

    The rising price of oil is making food more expensive and threatening the food security of the poor, reports The New York Times. “According to the F.A.O., food riots have erupted in recent months in Guinea, Mauritania, Mexico, Morocco, Senegal, Uzbekistan and Yemen.”

    “The surge in the copper price has stirred up an emotional debate in Zambia about the obligations of the government—and investors—regarding the exploitation of minerals for the long-term benefit of countries. For a country built on the back of a previous copper heyday, but which has experienced massive poverty and underdevelopment for decades, this is unsurprising,” writes Diana Games for Resource Investor.

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  • In Davos, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon Highlights Water Conflict

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    January 24, 2008  //  By Karen Bencala
    Yet another world leader is predicting impending water wars. Today at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said, “Our experiences tell us that environmental stress due to lack of water may lead to conflict, and it will be greater in poor nations.” Agreed. Water stress may lead to conflict, but a historical analysis shows that it is actually more likely lead to a cooperative outcome than a conflictive one. (For a quick summary of water conflict and cooperation and how water can be a force for peace rather than war, see ECSP Director Geoff Dabelko’s co-authored piece on the subject, “Water Can Be a Pathway to Peace, Not War.”)

    While Ban’s call to prepare for water conflict may be a tad alarmist, he did accurately lay out the problem and the need to develop better management practices as part of the solution to increased water stress: “Population growth will make the problem worse. So will climate change. As the global economy grows, so will its thirst…There is still enough water for all of us, but only so long as we keep it clean, use it more wisely, and share it fairly.” As Ban was speaking in Davos, he made a plug for the role that business can play in addressing the problem, saying that business has for a long time been the “culprit” in water problems, but that now “business is becoming part of the solution, not the problem.”

    You can watch today’s entire plenary meeting, “Time is Running out for Water,” on the World Economic Forum’s website.
    MORE
  • Weekly Reading

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    Reading Radar  //  January 18, 2008  //  By Wilson Center Staff
    This article from the Population Reference Bureau provides an overview of Kenya’s demography—including population growth, HIV/AIDS prevalence, and the country’s youth bulge—in the context of the ongoing ethnic conflict.

    “Weather of Mass Destruction? The rise of climate change as the “new” security issue,” by past Wilson Center speaker Oli Brown, examines the risks and opportunities associated with the growing acceptance of climate change as a national and international security issue.

    The United States should expand its civilian tools of international power, argued Wilson Center President Lee H. Hamilton in “Wielding our power smartly,” a January 14 editorial in The Indianapolis Star. “America’s crucial role in a complicated world demands that we apply effectively all the tools of U.S. power—public and private, military, economic and political. Our challenge is to cultivate an international system that puts cooperation and engagement at its core,” said Hamilton.

    A publication from the U.S. Institute of Peace lays out guidelines for relations between U.S. armed forces and non-governmental humanitarian organizations in conflict zones or potentially hostile areas.

    President George W. Bush signed an exemption that the U.S. Navy hopes will increase the likelihood that the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals will vacate a federal judge’s recent injunction that the Navy take additional steps to protect marine mammals from the sonar it uses during anti-submarine warfare training.

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  • Maternal and Child Nutrition Key to International Security, Prosperity, Say Global Leaders

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    January 18, 2008  //  By Kai Carter
    Earlier this week, public health practitioners, scientists, economists, and policymakers gathered at the Wilson Center in Washington, D.C., to launch The Lancet‘s new series on maternal and child undernutrition. The series aims to bring attention to the burden of undernutrition and raise support for evidence-based interventions that are implemented to scale. The speakers—including Joy Phumaphi, vice president for Human Development at the World Bank; Kent Hill, assistant administrator for global health at the U.S. Agency for International Development; and Tadataka Yamada, president of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation’s Global Health Program—emphasized the linkages between undernutrition and national productivity and prosperity. “Improved health for the world’s poor is not only a moral imperative, but also a pragmatic investment for peace, security, and worldwide economic growth,” said Hill. It is not surprising that the Japanese government recently gave $300,000 to fund a maternal and child health and nutrition program in Pakistan in an effort to alleviate poverty and increase security in the area.

    Robert Black of Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Policy, the lead author of the series, emphasized that many national plans to improve nutrition have yet to be effectively implemented or have failed to achieve high coverage. He stressed the need to incorporate nutrition priorities into non-health programs and policies such as those addressing poverty, trade, and agriculture. Boldly, Black characterized the international nutrition system as fragmented and dysfunctional and called for reforms that included greater funding, capacity strengthening, and accountability.

    According to The Lancet, “3.5 million mothers and children under five die unnecessarily each year due to the underlying cause of undernutrition, and millions more are permanently disabled by the physical and mental effects of a poor dietary intake in the earliest months of life.” It is time national governments and the international community acknowledge the negative impact of undernutrition on health, education, productivity, and human security. Nations will not be healthy, prosperous, and peaceful until their people are properly nourished and given the chance to develop to their full capacity. For more information on this event, visit the Global Health Initiative’s website.
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  • New Year Sees Heightened Violence in Niger

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    January 18, 2008  //  By Sonia Schmanski
    Hostility between the Niger Movement for Justice (MNJ) and the country’s government—brewing since government officials announced a sharp increase in mining project commitments in the northern region of Niger in early 2007—escalated this month. Violence reached Niger’s capital city of Niamey for the first time on January 8, 2008, when a landmine exploded under a car, killing a local radio director. The MNJ, which decries what it perceives as the unequal distribution of profits from uranium mining and oil drilling in Tuareg territory, has killed nearly 50 soldiers since early last year, earning the wrath of the Nigerien government. Although the group vehemently denies any involvement with the January 8 attack, many in Niger are skeptical of this claim.

    Ethnic Tuaregs, who live mostly in northern Niger and account for eight percent of the country’s population, make up the majority of the MNJ. Politically marginalized following independence and devastated by the desertification of the Sahel and the droughts of 1968-74 and 1984-85, the Tuareg also suffered from the government’s refusal to assist the drought-stricken territories and government expropriation of international humanitarian aid. Following the droughts, many Tuaregs moved to urban areas, where they found themselves culturally isolated. Others were forced to move into refugee camps, while still others migrated to Algeria and Libya. In Niger, this social divide, coupled with economic hardship, manifested itself in violent rebellion between 1990 and 1995, when a peace deal was brokered in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. The peace, however, was neither complete nor lasting.

    Recently, lack of access to the economic benefits of oil drilling and uranium mining in Tuareg territory has led to increasingly volatile relations between the Tuareg and Niger’s government. Government spokesman Mohamed Ben Omar’s announcement last May that Niger would seek to triple its uranium production in the near future only increased the tension. In addition, several instances of violence during 2007 have further strained relations between the MNJ and Niger’s government. On April 20, Tuareg rebels attacked uranium prospectors from the French-controlled Areva mining company in northern Niger, calling for increased benefits for the local Tuareg population and better implementation of the 1995 peace accord, which required companies to give preference to the Tuareg in their hiring processes. On July 6, rebels captured and held a Chinese mine employee for four days before releasing him.

    The violence seems set to continue: On January 10, 2008, Nigerien Energy and Mines Minister Mamadou Abdulahi announced that Niger would award 100 new mining exploration permits over the next two years and seven new oil exploration licenses in 2008, and on January 13, Areva announced plans to undertake the largest industrial mining project ever in Niger. Areva will invest more than €1 billion in the project, which will produce nearly 5,000 tons of uranium a year.

    The Environmental Change and Security Program (ECSP) has long explored the connections between natural resources and security. ECSP’s January 9, 2008, meeting, “Innovative Partnerships for Peace: The Role of Extractive Industries in Resource-Based Conflict Prevention and Mitigation,” was the first in a series that will explore the links between conflict, natural resources, and human health.
    MORE
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